Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports was a PERFECT 4-0 in the NFL last weekend! Frank has DELIVERED SIX STRAIGHT of his highest-rated 25* NFL PLAYS (12-2 *86%* NFL 25* run!) and TWO of his WINNERS this week deserve his 25* seal of approval! Get ALL THREE WINNERS — GUARANTEED TO CA$H — for a discounted price RIGHT HERE!
Archive for the ‘Hollywood Sports’ Category
NFL Preseason action resumed last night with the Patriots and Steelers both recording easy wins and covers! Both games went Over the total.
Our expert handicappers did phenomenally well with their NFL Preseason Picks on Thursday, going 13-2 overall!
Murray Hill Mike is already 4-0 with his Preseason Totals and has another one tonight. Get it now by clicking here.
Ben Burns continues to dominate the books in baseball, going 20-3 his last 23 MLB bets! Even more impressive is his PERFECT 15-0 run with 10* Top Plays!
Be on the lookout for tomorrow’s Double Guarantee from Hollywood Sports. This is a play that MUST win or you will be emailed Sunday’s top NFLX play FREE of charge. His NFLx AFC Game of the Year is already available and don’t miss his Triple Feature for Friday.
Here’s an NFL article that was sent to us that we wanted to share: 10 Enthralling Storylines for the 2011 Season
For a free MLB pick today, take the Phillies over the Nationals.
NFL Week 1 Preseason Review
There’s only one NFL Preseason game left in Week One and you can get the guaranteed winner from Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports right here. Frank is 3-0 this year with his NFL preseason bets and 19-7 since the start of last season.
After underdogs went 3-2 ATS on Thursday, preseason NFL favorites cleaned up on Friday & Saturday, going 9-1 ATS! This includes a 5-0 ATS mark on Saturday. For tonight, the Texans are 2.5-point favorites over the Jets at Bet Online, where they are offering a FREE $100 to anyone who makes a $300 deposit.
Oddsmakers and the public were expecting some low scoring games with every total set at 35.5 points or less. However, eight of the games went Over the total compared to seven Unders.
Free Baseball Picks
Check out some of these free baseball trends for the Milwaukee Brewers
• 44-15 in all home games
• 11-0 at home after allowing 2 runs or less BB games
• 16-0 at home after allowing 3 runs or less BB games
• 25-3 as a favorite of -150 or more
• 10-0 at home after scoring 2 runs or less last game
Our free baseball pick for today is to take the Milwaukee Brewers, -160 on the money line, at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The NFL Preseason kicks off tonight and our collection of winning sports handicappers are ready with winning football picks. If you are wondering which Expert is right for you, then we are happy to provide you with some guidance.
Ben Burns: Ben is one of our most popular handicappers. He was 6-0 with his playoff sides last season & is 13-2 all-time with his Super Bowl selections.
Carlo Campanella: The “Iron Horse” finished last NFL season on a remarkable 18-1 (95) Winning Run!
Lenny Del Genio: A former oddsmaker, Lenny finished last season 42 games OVER .500 in NFL & College combined!
Matt Fargo: Insane 85-52-5 NFL Run through last year’s regular season and playoffs.
Tom Freese: Eight Straight Winning Seasons in the NFL!
Eddie Keen: His first football season at Vegas Experts included a 5-0 finish, including Side and Total Winner in Super Bowl XLV
Marc Lawrence: Marc has won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement Awards than anyone in the nation (400-plus).
Sam Martin: The “Whiz Kid” from MIT, Sam is a force to be reckoned with with his NFL and College Football picks.
Big Al McMordie: The most honored technical handicapper in the country, Big Al has been featured on National TV and Radio as well as FHM
Murray Hill Mike: From a family of some of the sharpest gamblers in the country, Mike was 10-3 last January with his College Bowl picks.
Larry Ness: Larry is entering his 28th football season this September and after taking the summer off, is poised for his best year yet!
Hollywood Sports: DOMINATED THE 2010 NFL PRESEASON with his OUTSTANDING 16-7 (70%) NFLx mark! Frank was also a PERFECT 4-0 (100%) with his NFLx Game of the Year releases.
The New England Patriots have made a splash this week in the mad rush of transactions after the lockout by acquiring both defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth and wide receiver Chad Ochocinco. Some pundits are claiming these two moves make the Patriots the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl this season.
Coming off their 14-2 mark last year, it is easy to see why New England is one of the favorites entering the season. But if they are counting on either of these players to perform as they did in their prime because of the past success of Bill Belichick reclamation projects, then the Patriots may be in trouble.
Ochocinco averaged only 12.4 YPC from his 67 receptions last season and his four touchdowns were the lowest total he has seen since his rookie year. At 33 years old, Ochocinco is getting to the age where receivers see a depreciation of their speed and skills. That is not a good sign for a wideout that has seen his two of his three lowest YPC numbers over the last three seasons. The Patriots have become a ball control passing team with Tom Brady loving to dump the ball off to his two tight ends. Ochocinco will fit into this style of play as a possession receiver but he will be just one of many targets.
Having to pay Haynesworth only five million dollars from that mammoth contract he signed with the Redskins could offer nice value. However, even Belichick cannot coach up a player who is out of shape. This move looked better before New England released Ty Warren because it now looks like the Patriots need Haynesworth to regain his Tennessee Titans form. And New England plays plenty of the 3-4 defense that originally set Haynesworth off in Washington.
These moves potentially work given the low financial cost in bringing in these two players. But considering the locker room distraction that both players have been in the past, Belichick’s belief he can secure
attitude adjustments may be his hubris coming out again. Remember, neither of these guys owns a Super Bowl ring. Team chemistry is a fragile thing. Ask Randy Moss.
Baseball is back on Thursday and you need to check out the Vegas Experts’ winning MLB picks! We are coming out of the All Star Break with some very big news and some special deals.
Matt Fargo on 15-0 MLB Run – Tonight’s AL Game of the Month Comes Double Guaranteed!
Matt Fargo has won 15 straight MLB Picks and he’s coming out of the All Star Break with a HUGE release – his American League Game of the Month! Matt is 44-15 his last 59 MLB side plays overall and tonight’s play comes with a special Double Guarantee – It MUST WIN – or we will send you Friday’s play free of charge.
Note that this isn’t something we offer all the time. The last two times a Vegas Expert released a Double Guaranteed selection, the play won BOTH times.
Featured Subscription Packages from Hot Handicappers
A number of our sports handicappers are doing very well right now in Major League Baseball. Purchase one of the following handicapper subscription packages, and we’ll throw in a second absolutely FREE!
• Nick Parsons: 15-0 All Sport Run (MLB and CFL). Nick also went 53-25 in MLB the final 25 days before the All Star Break.
• Marc Lawrence: Marc is currently on a 23-3 winning run with baseball picks.
• Tom Freese: All Tom Freese does is win. He went 6-0 last weekend in baseball and is now 69-43 his last 112 MLB Picks overall. Don’t forget that Tom also finished the NBA regular season 25 games over .500!
• Hollywood Sports: Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports service also went 6-0 this past weekend in baseball and is now 37-16 his last 53 MLB selections. Frank also does soccer and CFL picks!
We can’t think of another time when we had so many hot handicappers. This “Buy 1, Get 1 Free” offer allows you to save over 80% on the cost of sports picks. Call our customer service line (1.888.881.8342) today to sign up. You must call in to get this deal.
BetOnline Sportsbook – Sign up Today & get $50 in Free Guaranteed Picks
Vegas Experts is thrilled to announce that it is recommending a new online sportsbook – BetOnline. This is the fastest growing online sportsbook in the industry and they offer some of the biggest and best bonuses you’ll find anywhere (up to $900!). If you sign up with BetOnline, we will give you $50 in free guaranteed picks to bet with your free bonus. Click here to read our review of BetOnline.
Free Betting Trends, Previews and Picks
You can check out Thursday’s baseball trends right now.
Click here for free preview of Rangers at Mariners. Texas has opened as a small road favorite.
We’ve got a free MLB pick from Marc Lawrence for today right here!
The MLB All Star Break is upon us, which means we are in the midst of the three slowest sports betting days of the entire calendar year. Tuesday is the All-Star Game and the National League has opened as -122 favorites over the American League, who is on a 12-1-1 Run in All Star Game Betting.
That doesn’t mean that there’s nothing to bet on, however. Tonight is the 2011 MLB Home Run Derby. Hollywood Sports offers up a free Home Run Derby Preview and also gives out free picks for the event.
Interest in soccer betting, specifically the Women’s World Cup, is at an all-time high following the United States’ dramatic victory over Brazil on Sunday. Hollywood Sports also gives some unique insight on how to make winning soccer picks.
It almost seems as if the MLB All Star Break came at the wrong time as many of our expert handicappers were on phenomenal runs with their baseball picks.
• Matt Fargo swept the board five straight days and is now a perfect 15-0 with MLB Picks since Wednesday. Looking back further, he is 44-15 his last 59 baseball selections.
• Marc Lawrence just keeps winning as well. He’s 23-3 with his last 26 MLB Picks!
• Tom Freese went 6-0 this weekend and is now on an incredible long term 69-43 winning run with his baseball picks.
That’s all for now! Don’t forget that you can also follow us on Facebook.
With the Yankees’ Derek Jeter now just four hits away from becoming the first Yankees player ever to join the elite 3,000 hit club, we wanted to start today’s MLB betting blog by reminding you about Bodog’s $3,000 giveaway. Bet at least $20 on tonight’s Yankees game and you’ll receive an automatic entry into giveaway.
And if you are looking to bet the game at Bodog, first be sure to pick up Big Al McMordie’s #1 TV Game of the Month, which is on the Yankees at Indians contest. Big Al is currently on a 58-38 MLB Run!
Congratulations are in order to Carlo Campanella for cashing his NL Game of the Year last night on Philadelphia 14-2 over Florida. Be sure to check out what the “Iron Horse” has available for today.
The start of the College Football season is just 56 days away, believe it or not. Marc Lawrence is offering up a free College Football preview each week on a different conference. This week: Conference USA.
Have you ever thought about betting on the CFL? Hollywood Sports offers up 11 reasons why you should right here.
How about a free MLB pick for today: Take the Pirates over the Astros!
Eddie Keen is now on a 17-8 winning MLB run after cashing +145 San Diego over San Francisco last night.
Finally, we wanted to bring to your attention that long time Vegas Expert Larry Ness has decided to take some personal time off in order to prepare for what will be his 28th season handicapping football. Larry will still be around providing previews, analysis and articles throughout the summer.
One of the sabermetrics that has always puzzled me is a starting pitcher’s strand rate for runners left on base (sometimes referred to as “LOB”). Often baseball analysts will argue that a certain starting pitcher has been either lucky or unlucky given an abnormally high or low strand rate. If this assessment was true, this would be valuable handicapping information moving forward since it is reasonable to expect that this strand rate percentage would regress back to the norm.
I am skeptical that strand rate is a helpful sabermetric for starting pitchers and MLB handicapping. First, isn’t it true that certain pitchers raise their level of play when pitching under stressful conditions? I have heard John Smoltz speak to this directly. Good pitchers respond to the pressure of the moment. Second, the argument that strand rate is all about luck seems to fly in the face of reality. Here are the five pitchers with the highest strand rates as of today: Karstens, W. Rodriguez, Jurrjens, Beckett and Shields. Have these pitchers just been lucky this season? That seems doubtful since they all were considered some of the better pitchers in the league (the only questionable starter on this list is Karstens — and I think, if anything, he remains undervalued rather than overvalued right now). Here are the five pitchers with the lowest strand rates: Carmona, Vazquez, Happ, Jimenez and Hochevar. Are they having bad seasons primarily because they are unlucky regarding leaving runners on base? Outside of Jimenez, these pitchers entered the year without getting much respect.
Jimenez is the interesting name here because maybe his disappointing season could be explained by some unfortunate series of events when he has had runners on base (as well as dealing with early injuries). I think those who view strand rate as a function of luck are doing so because they also believe that once a ball is put into play, the pitcher is not responsible for what then happens in the field (this is the assumption behind looking to Defense/Fielding Independent Pitching Stats). I buy this to an extent regarding ground balls — but I become much more leery when it comes to screaming line drives hit into the gap. But if anything, Jimenez has been lucky regarding ground balls given his GB BABIP of .189 (versus Colorado’s overall .217 GB BABIP). Looking deeper, 24.7% of the runs scored in the National League entering the day were products of ground balls — yet Jimenez has seen just 6 of the 48 runs (12.5%) he has allowed come from ground balls that (supposedly) would be dependent on his defense. These numbers suggest that is Jimenez has not been unlucky. Lets turn to line drives. Jimenez has allowed 19 of his 49 allowed runs to be scored on line drives. This 40% rate is over 50% higher than the 26.7% rate from which runs are scored on line drives in the National League (as of today). Rather than being unlucky, the Jimenez example suggests his low strand rate is a product of getting hit hard when runners are on base. In fact, looking deeper into the numbers with him suggests that strand rate may be, in fact, a function of how effective a pitcher is performing under stress. Cliff Lee, Jack Morris and Luis Tiant all agree!
Morehead State has just upset Louisville in a game that I looked very hard at. I thought it would be interesting to explain a handicapper’s thought process when they decide to
lay-off a game as choosing what not to play can be just as important as the decision to invest in a situation. I knew that the Racers’ Kenneth Faried — a rebounding and shot-blocking machine — would threaten Rick Pitino’s team that has lost most of their size to injury. And I figured that Morehead State would play with confidence against a Cardinals program that they matched up in the tournament two years ago. OK, but how would Pitino counter Faried? I figured he would embrace his teams’ quickness and push the pace and try to force turnovers which his team did a fine job this season as the Cardinals forced turnovers in 23.2% of their opponents’ possessions (32nd in the NCAA). And the Racers have been very vulnerable here since they ranked 320th in the nation on offense by turning the ball over in 23.3% of their possessions. Furthermore, Louisville had a distinct advantage with the 3-ball as they nail 36.1% of their shots and Morehead State allowed their previous opponents to convert 36.9% of their 3-pointers. So while the Racers could exploit the Cardinals, their biggest weaknesses were in aspects of the game that Pitino has had to rely on given the injuries to his team. That was enough for me to
pass on the game — and smart
passes are often more profitable in the long run than investing in all your (informed) opinions. One of the things that worried me was that Louisville’s reliance on the 3-point shot would neutralize Faried’s shot-blocking down low. However, that game-winning blocked shot at the arc was just his first one of the game so that conclusion was correct. Coincidentally, I looked very closely at Temple as well today but got scared off by, in part, what Talor Battle could do all by himself for Penn State. That
pass was well advised in hindsight since Battle nailed a 3-pointer with under ten seconds to go to tie the game. The Owls won on Juan Gonzalez’s buzzer-beater but that did not cover the spread. These would have been my eighth and ninth plays of the day so these strategic
passes saved us the juice!