Bodog – NCAA Tournament Props

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Odds to Win National Championship
1 Kansas 4/1
1 Duke 17/4
1 Ohio State 5/1
1 Pittsburgh 15/2
2 North Carolina 18/1
2 San Diego State 18/1
3 Connecticut 18/1
4 Kentucky 18/1
4 Texas 18/1
2 Notre Dame 20/1
3 Syracuse 20/1
3 Purdue 20/1
4 Louisville 22/1
2 Florida 25/1
3 BYU 40/1
5 Kansas State 40/1
7 Washington 40/1
4 Wisconsin 45/1
6 St. John’s 60/1
5 Arizona 70/1
5 West Virginia 80/1
5 Vanderbilt 80/1
6 Georgetown 90/1
6 Cincinnati 100/1
10 Michigan State 100/1
11 Gonzaga 100/1
12 Utah State 100/1
9 Illinois 100/1
9 Villanova 125/1
11 Missouri 125/1
8 UNLV 125/1
11 Marquette 150/1
6 Xavier 150/1
7 UCLA 150/1
7 Temple 150/1
9 Old Dominion 175/1
13 Belmont 200/1
7 Texas A&M 200/1
8 Butler 200/1
9 Tennessee 200/1
8 George Mason 250/1
10 Florida State 250/1
10 Penn State 250/1
11 USC 250/1
8 Michigan 250/1
12 Clemson 250/1
12 Memphis 275/1
10 Georgia 300/1
13 Oakland 300/1
12 Richmond 300/1
11 VCU 350/1
13 Morehead State 400/1
13 Princeton 500/1
12 UAB 500/1
14 Indiana State 500/1
14 St. Peter’s 500/1
14 Wofford 500/1
14 Bucknell 500/1
15 Akron 500/1
15 UC Santa Barbara 500/1
15 Northern Colorado 500/1
15 Long Island 1000/1
16 Alabama State 1000/1
16 Texas – San Antonio1000/1
16 Boston University 1000/1
16 Arkansas – Little Rock1000/1
16 North Carolina – Asheville1000/1
16 Hampton 1000/1

Odds to Win EAST Region
1 Ohio State 7/5
4 Kentucky 15/4
2 North Carolina 17/4
3 Syracuse 17/4
7 Washington 14/1
5 West Virginia 22/1
11 Marquette 35/1
9 Villanova 40/1
6 Xavier 50/1
8 George Mason 60/1
10 Georgia 80/1
12 Clemson 80/1
12 UAB 150/1
13 Princeton 200/1
14 Indiana State 200/1
15 Long Island 300/1
16 Alabama State 300/1
16 Texas – San Antonio300/1

Odds to Win SOUTHWEST Region
1 Kansas 13/10
2 Notre Dame 13/4
3 Purdue 17/4
4 Louisville 9/2
8 UNLV 25/1
6 Georgetown 28/1
5 Vanderbilt 30/1
9 Illinois 30/1
7 Texas A&M 75/1
10 Florida State 80/1
11 USC 100/1
12 Richmond 100/1
11VCU 150/1
13 Morehead State 150/1
14 St. Peter’s 150/1
15 Akron 200/1
16 Boston University 200/1

Odds to Win SOUTHEAST Region
1 Pittsburgh 8/5
2 Florida 7/2
3 BYU 7/1
4 Wisconsin 15/2
5 Kansas State 10/1
6 St. John’s 12/1
11 Gonzaga 20/1
12 Utah State 20/1
10 Michigan State 25/1
9 Old Dominion 40/1
7 UCLA 40/1
13 Belmont 50/1
8 Butler 65/1
14 Wofford 150/1
15 UC Santa Barbara 150/1
16 Arkansas – Little Rock 300/1
16 North Carolina – Asheville 300/1

Odds to Win WEST Region
1 Duke 5/4
2 San Diego State 7/2
3 Connecticut 9/2
4 Texas 9/2
5 Arizona 20/1
6 Cincinnati 22/1
11 Missouri 30/1
7 Temple 40/1
9 Tennessee 75/1
8 Michigan 80/1
10 Penn State 80/1
12 Memphis 80/1
13 Oakland 80/1
14 Bucknell 200/1
15 Northern Colorado 200/1
16 Hampton 200/1

Odds to Win Tournament MOP
Marcus Morris (Kansas) 11/2
Kyle Singler (Duke) 6/1
Nolan Smith (Duke) 13/2
Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) 13/2
Markieff Morris (Kansas) 10/1
Jon Diebler (Ohio State) 12/1
William Buford (Ohio State) 20/1
Tyshawn Taylor (Kansas) 20/1
Harrison Barnes (UNC) 25/1
Kawhi Leonard (San Diego State) 25/1
Kemba Walker (Connecticut) 25/1
Brandon Knight (Kentucky) 25/1
Jordan Hamilton (Texas) 25/1
Terrence Jones (Kentucky) 28/1
Ben Hansbrough (Notre Dame) 28/1
Preston Knowles (Louisville) 30/1
Tyler Zeller (UNC) 30/1
Malcolm Thomas (San Diego State) 35/1
JaJuan Johnson (Purdue) 35/1
E’Twaun Moore (Purdue) 35/1
Tristan Thompson (Texas) 35/1
Erving Walker (Florida) 35/1
Kenny Boynton (Florida) 40/1
John Henson (UNC) 40/1
Tim Abromaitis (Notre Dame) 40/1
Kris Jospeh (Syracuse) 40/1
Rick Jackson (Syracuse) 40/1
Scoop Jardine (Syracuse) 40/1
Jacob Pullen (Kansas State) 50/1
Jimmer Fredette (BYU) 50/1
Isaiah Thomas (Washington) 55/1
Jon Leuer (Wisconsin) 60/1
Jordan Taylor (Wisconsin) 60/1
Matthew Bryan-Amaning (Washington) 75/1
Dwight Hardy (St. John’s) 80/1
Derrick Williams (Arizona) 90/1
Casey Mitchell (West Virginia) 100/1
Kevin Jones (West Virginia) 100/1
John Jenkins (Vanderbilt) 100/1
Kalin Lucas (Michigan State) 125/1
Corey Fisher (Villanova) 125/1
Corey Stokes (Villanova) 125/1
Demetri McCamey (Illinois) 125/1
Austin Freeman (Georgetown) 125/1
Yancy Gates (Cincinnati) 150/1
Draymond Green (Michigan State) 150/1
Chase Stanback (UNLV) 150/1
Jeffery Taylor (Vanderbilt) 150/1
Steven Gray (Gonzaga) 150/1
Tu Holloway (Xavier) 175/1
Reeves Nelson (UCLA) 200/1
Ramone Moore (Temple) 200/1
Lavoy Allen (Temple) 200/1
Jimmy Butler (Marquette) 200/1
Frank Hassell (Old Dominion) 225/1
Scotty Hopson (Tennessee) 250/1
Shelvin Mack (Butler) 250/1
Matt Howard (Butler) 250/1
Khris Middleton (Texas A&M) 250/1
Talor Battle (Penn State) 275/1
Cam Long (George Mason) 300/1
Ryan Pearson (George Mason) 300/1
Darius Morris (Michigan) 300/1
Tim Hardaway Jr. (Michigan) 300/1

Which graduating class will the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship Tournament MOP come from?
Freshman 5/2
Sophomore 11/2
Junior 2/1
Senior 5/4

Which Conference will the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion come from?
Atlantic 10 65/1
ACC 3/1
Big 12 11/4
Big East 11/4
Big Ten 13/4
Mountain West 12/1
Pac-10 22/1
SEC 9/1
Any Other Conference 16/1

Which #1 ranked seed will be the first to be eliminated from the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Ohio State 5/2
Kansas 3/1
Pittsburgh 2/1
Duke 3/1

How Many #1 seeds will make the Final 4 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
0 5/1
1 8/5
2 8/5
3 4/1
4 22/1

How Many #1 seeds will make the Final 4 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Over 1½ (-135)
Under 1½ (+105)

In what round will the first #1 seed (Ohio State, Kansas, Pittsburgh, Duke) be eliminated from the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Round of 64 8/1
Round of 32 3/2
Sweet 16 6/5
Elite 8 15/4
Final 4 22/1

What Seed will the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion be?
#1 Seed 5/8
#2 Seed 4/1
#3 Seed 6/1
#4 Seed 11/2
#5 Seed 20/1
#6 Seed 25/1
#7 Seed 30/1
#8 Seed 50/1
#9 Seed 40/1
#10 Seed 50/1
#11 Seed 35/1
#12 Seed 55/1
#13-16 Seed 22/1

What will be the lowest ranked seed to advance past the round of 64 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
#8 Seed 250/1
#9 Seed 150/1
#10 Seed 50/1
#11 Seed 16/1
#12 Seed 6/1
#13 Seed 3/1
#14 Seed 8/5
#15 Seed 5/2
#16 Seed 8/1

How Many #15 Seeds will advance past the round of 64 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship
1 or more +225
None -300

How Many #14 Seeds will advance past the round of 64 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship
1 or More EVEN
None -130

How Many #13 Seeds will advance past the round of 64 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship
1 or More -160
None +130

How Many #12 Seeds will advance past the round of 64 of the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship
2 or More -140
1 or Less +110

Which of these players will score more points in the Round of 64 in the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Kemba Walker (Connecticut) 7/2
Nolan Smith (UNC) 4/1
Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) 11/2
Ben Hansbrough (Notre Dame) 13/2
E’Twaun Moore (Purdue) 15/2
Marcus Morris (Kansas) 15/2
Harrison Barnes (UNC) 17/2
Jordan Hamilton (Texas) 9/1
Brandon Knight (Kentucky) 10/1
Ashton Gibbs (Pittsburgh) 12/1

How many buzzer beating shots will occur during the Round of 64 in the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
0 Buzzer Beaters 5/7
1 Buzzer Beater 7/4
2 Buzzer Beaters 6/1
3 Buzzer Beaters 10/1
4 Buzzer Beaters 20/1
5 Buzzer Beaters 50/1
6 or more Buzzer Beaters 100/1

What will be the highest margin of victory during the Round of 64 in the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Over 37½ (-120)
Under 37½ (-120)

What will be the highest point total scored by 1 team during the Round of 64 in the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Over 100½ (-130)
Under 100½ (-110)

Canadian Special – Which Canadian born player will average the most points during the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?
Kris Joseph (Syracuse) 3/2
Tristan Thompson (Texas) 8/5
Cory Joseph (Texas) 5/1
Robert Sacre (Gonzaga) 5/1
Kyle Johnson (Long Island) 10/1

NCAA Bracketology (part 3)

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting. In our first NCAA Bracketology preview, we told you about our weekly free newsletter and annual Bracketology article, which will become available on March 15th. In our second blog, we discussed how certain seeds (2 through 4) fare in the opening round. Now, we move to the more “upset-minded” matchups of 5 vs. 12 and 6 vs. 11.

The 2007 Tournament saw all four five seeds advance to the second round, but that has been the exception to the rule as 20 of the previous 22 tournaments have seen at least one 12 seed upset a 5. Last year, it was Cornell over Temple, which we correctly predicted. The year before, there were three 12’s that pulled the upset and overall there have been 35 upsets since the field was expanded in 1985. It is interesting to note that two 5 seeds last year – Butler and Michigan State – made it all the way to the Final Four.

For years, it has been noted that six seeds actually outperformed their fifth seeded counterparts. However, here too, we are seeing a litany of upsets. Over the last five tournaments, eight 11’s have beaten a 6 (against 12 losses). Last year, a pair of 11’s – Washington and Old Dominion (we called the latter) – advanced, meaning there have been 33 upsets all-time, nearly matching what we have seen from the 5 vs. 12 matchup. Like the 5 seeds last year, it is interesting to note that both six seeds that made it out of the first round won at least two games.

So, it’s obvious that you have to pick some upsets here. What should you be looking for? Well for starters, there is something new this year that we discussed in Part 1. The addition of extra ‘play-in’ games means that two of the 12-seeds could be at a distinct disadvantage in this year’s tournament. We’ll probably be looking to take the 5 seeds that draw a team that has already played its way into the field of 64. Mid-majors as 12 seeds are usually popular picks. On the flip side, when you have a 12 seed from a ‘power six’ conference and they are matched up against a 5-seed from a mid-major, there tend to be “upsets” as well.

As for the 6-11 matchup, a lot of these picks are simply gut feelings. Typically, of the six seeds that do win a 1st round game, at least one is going to win twice. So, basically take a look at the four six seeds and go-against the ones that look weakest to you. It’s also in your best interest to do your homework on the individual teams and matchups!