Posts Tagged ‘NCAA Tournament’

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Bodog – NCAA Finals – Prop Bets

04/04/2011

Check Out Bodog’s NCAA Championship Betting Props

NCAA TOURNAMENT – CHAMPIONSHIP
Butler +3 +150 O 129
Connecticut -3 -170 U 129

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score first in the game
Butler -120
Connecticut -120

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 5 Points in the game
Butler -120
Connecticut -120

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 10 Points in the game
Butler -115
Connecticut -125

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 15 Points in the game
Butler -110
Connecticut -130

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 20 Points in the game
Butler -105
Connecticut -135

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 25 Points in the game
Butler EVEN
Connecticut -140

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to score the first 30 Points in the game
Butler +105
Connecticut -145

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to make the first 3 Point Shot in the game
Butler -150
Connecticut +110

Butler vs Connecticut – Team to make the first Foul Shot in the game
Butler -110
Connecticut -130

Butler vs Connecticut – First score of the game will be?
Foul Shot 15/2
2 Point Shot 2/7
3 Point Shot 3/1

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Made 3 Point Shots in the game
Over/Under 13

Butler vs Connecticut – First Half Total Team Points – Butler
Over/Under 29

Butler vs Connecticut – First Half Total Team Points – Connecticut
Over/Under 31

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Team Points – Butler
Over/Under 63

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Team Points – Connecticut
Over/Under 66

Butler vs Connecticut – Alternate Point Spread
Butler -3½ (+225)
Connecticut +3½ (-350)

Butler vs Connecticut – Alternate Point Spread
Butler +9½ (-350)
Connecticut -9½ (+225)

Butler vs Connecticut – Alternate Game Total
Over 122½ (-250)
Under 122½ (+170)

Butler vs Connecticut – Alternate Game Total
Over 135½ (+170)
Under 135½ (-250)

Butler vs Connecticut – Largest lead of the game will be?
Over 12.5 Points -120
Under 12.5 Points -120

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Shelvin Mack (Butler)
Over/Under 17.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Assists – Shelvin Mack (Butler)
Over/Under 3.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total 3 Point Shots Made – Shelvin Mack (Butler)
Over/Under 2.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Matt Howard (Butler)
Over/Under 15.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Rebounds – Matt Howard (Butler)
Over/Under 7.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total 3 Point Shots Made – Matt Howard (Butler)
Over 1½ (+110)
Under 1½ (-150)

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Andrew Smith (Butler)
Over/Under 8

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Rebounds – Andrew Smith (Butler)
Over/Under 6

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Shawn Vanzant (Butler)
Over/Under 8.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Shelvin Mack (Butler) make his first shot attempt?
Yes +120
No -160

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Matt Howard (Butler) make his first shot attempt?
Yes EVEN
No -140

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Andrew Smith (Butler) make his first shot attempt?
Yes -130
No -110

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Shawn Vanzant (Butler) make his first shot attempt?
Yes +125
No -165

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Kemba Walker (Connecticut)
Over/Under 24.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Assists – Kemba Walker (Connecticut)
Over/Under 5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Rebounds – Kemba Walker (Connecticut)
Over/Under 5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total 3 Point Shots Made – Kemba Walker (Connecticut)
Over 2 (-120)
Under 2 (-120)

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Alex Oriakhi (Connecticut)
Over/Under 8.5

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Rebounds – Alex Oriakhi (Connecticut)
Over/Under 8

Butler vs Connecticut – Total Points – Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut)
Over/Under 14

Butler vs Connecticut – Total 3 Point Shots Made – Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut)
Over 1½ (-140)
Under 1½ (EVEN)

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Kemba Walker (Connecticut) make his first shot attempt?
Yes +105
No -145

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Alex Oriakhi (Connecticut) make his first shot attempt?
Yes -105
No -135

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut) make his first shot attempt?
Yes +105
No -145

Butler vs Connecticut – Will Roscoe Smith (Connecticut) make his first shot attempt? l
Yes +140
No -180

Butler vs Connecticut – Who will score first in the game?
Kemba Walker (Connecticut) 7/2
Shelvin Mack (Butler) 4/1
Matt Howard (Butler) 9/2
Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut) 5/1
Alex Oriakhi (Connecticut) 13/2
Andrew Smith (Butler) 7/1
Shawn Vanzant (Butler) 15/2
Chase Stigall (Butler) 9/1
Roscoe Smith (Connecticut) 9/1
Tyler Olander (Connecticut) 12/1

Butler vs Connecticut – Who will score first in the game for Butler?
Shelvin Mack (Butler) 2/1
Matt Howard (Butler) 13/4
Andrew Smith (Butler) 7/2
Shawn Vanzant (Butler) 4/1
Chase Stigall (Butler) 9/2

Butler vs Connecticut – Who will score first in the game for Connecticut?
Kemba Walker (Connecticut) 7/4
Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut) 5/2
Alex Oriakhi (Connecticut) 13/4
Roscoe Smith (Connecticut) 4/1
Tyler Olander (Connecticut) 5/1

Butler vs Connecticut – Who will make the first 3 Point Shot in the game?
Shlevin Mack (Buttler) 2/1
Kemba Walker (Connecticut) 5/2
Jeremy Lamb (Connecticut) 4/1
Matt Howard (Butler) 9/2
Shawn Vanzant (Butler) 11/2
Chase Stigall (Butler) 8/1
Zach Hahn (Butler) 8/1
Shabazz Napier (Connecticut) 9/1
Roscoe Smith (Connecticut) 12/1

Butler vs Connecticut – Margin of Victory
Butler to win by 1-2 Points 17/2
Butler to win by 3-6 Points 5/1
Butler to win by 7-9 Points 10/1
Butler to win by 10-13 Points 12/1
Butler to win by 14-16 Points 20/1
Butler to win by 17-20 Points 20/1
Butler to win by 21 or more points 30/1
Connecticut to win by 1-2 Points 15/2
Connecticut to win by 3-6 Points 9/2
Connecticut to win by 7-9 Points 13/2
Connecticut to win by 10-13 Points 6/1
Connecticut to win by 14-16 Points 10/1
Connecticut to win by 17-20 Points 12/1
Connecticut to win by 21 or more Points 10/1

Odds to win the 2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship Tournament MOP
Kemba Walker 4/7
Shelvin Mack 2/1
Matt Howard 3/1

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Hollywood Sports – Why Morehead State (Over Louisville) Scared Me

03/18/2011

Morehead State has just upset Louisville in a game that I looked very hard at. I thought it would be interesting to explain a handicapper’s thought process when they decide to lay-off a game as choosing what not to play can be just as important as the decision to invest in a situation. I knew that the Racers’ Kenneth Faried — a rebounding and shot-blocking machine — would threaten Rick Pitino’s team that has lost most of their size to injury. And I figured that Morehead State would play with confidence against a Cardinals program that they matched up in the tournament two years ago. OK, but how would Pitino counter Faried? I figured he would embrace his teams’ quickness and push the pace and try to force turnovers which his team did a fine job this season as the Cardinals forced turnovers in 23.2% of their opponents’ possessions (32nd in the NCAA). And the Racers have been very vulnerable here since they ranked 320th in the nation on offense by turning the ball over in 23.3% of their possessions. Furthermore, Louisville had a distinct advantage with the 3-ball as they nail 36.1% of their shots and Morehead State allowed their previous opponents to convert 36.9% of their 3-pointers. So while the Racers could exploit the Cardinals, their biggest weaknesses were in aspects of the game that Pitino has had to rely on given the injuries to his team. That was enough for me to pass on the game — and smart passes are often more profitable in the long run than investing in all your (informed) opinions. One of the things that worried me was that Louisville’s reliance on the 3-point shot would neutralize Faried’s shot-blocking down low. However, that game-winning blocked shot at the arc was just his first one of the game so that conclusion was correct. Coincidentally, I looked very closely at Temple as well today but got scared off by, in part, what Talor Battle could do all by himself for Penn State. That pass was well advised in hindsight since Battle nailed a 3-pointer with under ten seconds to go to tie the game. The Owls won on Juan Gonzalez’s buzzer-beater but that did not cover the spread. These would have been my eighth and ninth plays of the day so these strategic passes saved us the juice!

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Hollywood Sports – TV Announcers Wrong Again – March Madness Edition

03/18/2011

I just heard Tim Brando say during the Old Dominion-Butler game that the committee got it half right with their controversial bubble selections as VCU beat USC but UAB lost to Clemson. Actually, those results do NOT prove anything (maybe Colorado would have lost even worse to Clemson … or maybe UAB would beat VCU and really mess with Brando’s head). Matchups, travel, the specific situation (the things that handicappers look at before the game starts) — these are all unique variables that can impact the outcome of one game — and one game does not make a proper sample size. Ken Pomeroy’s deep metrics forecast that Ohio State has a 99.1% of defeating Texas-San Antonio straight up. In other words, Texas-San Antonio would probably defeat the overall number-one seed once in one hundred contests. If (and when) that statistical improbability occurred, that would NOT prove that Ohio State was not deserving of a one-seed or some other rear view mirror hasty generalization. 32 teams are going to lose their basketball game over the next two days. Their defeat does not really say anything about their worthiness to be in the tournament since it is a statistical inevitability that 32 teams somewhere have to lose their games. So when the next announcer tries to make a broader conclusion from the results of one of these games, consider it for what it is: garbage.

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NCAA Bracketology Preview (part 2)

02/26/2011

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting. In our first NCAA Bracketology preview, we told you about our weekly free newsletter and annual Bracketology article, which will become available on March 15th. However, before we get to that, we will be going over the individual history of how certain seeds fare against one another in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.

In Part 1, we told you that #1 seeds are 104-0 straight up all-time vs. #16 seeds and went 4-0 against the spread last year. We also talked about the expansion of the “opening round” or play-in games from one to four and how that will impact your office pool.

In this edition, we will discuss how teams seeded 2 through 4 fare in the first round against teams seeded 13 through 15. For winning college basketball picks throughout the NCAA Tournament, please visit our picks page.

2009 marked the first NCAA Tournament where every team seeded 1 through 3 made it to the Sweet Sixteen. Since the field was expanded to 64 teams in 1985, teams seeded 2 through 4 are a strong 169-43 SU. As you would expect 2 seeds have the highest success rate, losing only four times to a 15 seed and the last time this happened was 2001.

One 3 seed lost in the first round of the tournament last year and that was Georgetown, who bit the dust against Ohio U. That was the 16th all-time loss by a 3-seed in the first round.

It’s almost becoming automatic that you have to play against one 4 seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament each year. That’s because 22 of the previous 26 tournaments have seen at least one four seed go down in the first two days of the Big Dance. We called last year’s upset with Murray State over Vanderbilt.

This year’s 4 seeds could be in for more trouble. That’s because some of the teams that could end up as 13 seeds in this year’s tournament look very dangerous. Keep an eye on the following schools and make a note of them when the brackets are officially released: Coastal Carolina, Belmont, Oakland and Cleveland State. You can bet that the higher seeded opponents that draw any of these teams will not be happy come Selection Sunday!

Up next we will take a look at the 5 vs. 12 and 6 vs. 11 matchups, which have an incredible history of upsets.

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NCAA Bracketology Preview (part 1)

02/25/2011

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting all year long. The Tourney is probably the most wagered on event of the year with the exception of the Super Bowl. Winning college basketball picks are always available at Vegas Experts where you can also download our free weekly handicapping newsletter, which contains free basketball picks from our expert sports handicappers.

The final issue of the My EDGE Newsletter will be published on March 15th, just in time for the 2011 NCAA Tournament. This is our most popular issue of the year as it contains our annual Bracketology article, where we assist you in filling out the brackets so that you can win your office pool. Note that these college basketball picks are straight up and not against the spread.

Last season, we had Duke making it to the National Title Game and also had West Virginia in the Final Four. In 2009, we correctly predicted that North Carolina would win it all, just like we did in 2005 when they beat Illinois (we predicted that exact Tournament Final). In 2007, we not only had the right Tournament Final and winner (Florida over Ohio State), but we correctly projected the entire Final Four field! In 2008, we correctly predicted seven of the Elite Eight teams (only missing on Cinderella Davidson).

In the upcoming weeks, we will be reviewing how certain seeds have fared against one another in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Obviously, we should not need to tell you that a #1 seed has never lost to a #16 seed in 104 all-time matchups. Last year did see top seeds go a dominating 4-0 ATS, winning every game by more than 20 points.

New to this year’s tourney is the advent of multiple “play in” games or as College Basketball powers like to call them “opening round games.” Beginning in 2001, on the Tuesday following Selection Sunday in Dayton, OH, typically the two lowest seeded teams in the field have squared off for the right to play the highest seeded team in the field. It is important to note that since 2004, these “play-in games” have not been very competitive with every contest decided by eight points or more. Last season was the first time the underdog won or covered in four seasons.

For this season, the “opening round” has been expanded to four games. Two of them will feature teams seeded 16th in their region, thus making them obvious candidates for “one and done.” However, there will also be two “play in games” between teams seeded 12th in their region, which is certainly important to note because, as well all know, 12 seeds have a strong history of going on and upsetting 5 seeds. Because of this, you’ll probably be required to have your brackets filled out a few days earlier as previously the “play in game” had been largely disregarded by most office pools.

Up next we will be taking a look at how #2 through #4 seeds have historically fared in the first round.

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