Over 9.5 Atlanta Falcons -110 (BEST BET)
I had the Falcons as one of my sleeper Super Bowl future bets so to no surprise I have them going ‘Over’ their win total. Three key factors play into this. First, Atlanta was hit hard by the injury bug a season ago so a big bounceback can be expected. Second, the division the Falcons play in is one of the weaker ones in the league. Lastly, the schedule could not be more favorable.
Head coach Mike Smith has done a phenomenal job of turning this team around following the Bobby Petrino debacle that saw the Falcons go 4-12 in 2007. Atlanta missed the playoffs last season with a 9-7 record which came after an 11-5 campaign and postseason appearance in 2008 so the motivation factor alone is worthy of an uphill climb. Atlanta has not won a playoff game since 2004 but this should be the year.
Offensively, Atlanta Falcons has one of the best young quarterbacks in the game in Matt Ryan. He posted an 87.7 quarterback rating in his rookie season but dropped that to 80.9 in an injury-marred 2008 season. Also on the shelf last year was running back Michael Turner, who missed five games and accumulated just over half of his 1,699 yards from 2008. If those two stay healthy, the offense will be a potent one.